Update 5/12/10
Aargh. Should have gone with my aggressive instinct that I mentioned yesterday (the call ladder versus the slightly more defensive backspread). GS powers back underscoring how volatile this thing has been. For the record, the back spread I put on yesterday (-5 140/+9 145) is up on the 5-point rally in GS about $1 net whereas that 140/45/50 ladder put five times would have been up about $4.
Okay so the first order of business is to shift some of the delta risk a bit. Volatility came down a tad but this time of the cycle is a great moment to look at some of the leveraged backspread varieties as well. With today’s adjustment I’ll take a little bit of additional upside risk in exchange for some solid downside strength (keeping in touch with Sam’s original directional lean again).
Adjustments
+5 140c/-15 145c/+10 150c for $1.09 credit each (net credit of 5.45)
-2 145p/+4 140p for $0.03 debit each (net debit $0.06)
Net position
-15 145c/+15 150c/+2 155c/+2 160c/+1 170c
-1 165p/-2 145p/+4 140p/+1 135p/+2 130p
Net overall credit is $50.06
From: OptionClub@yahoogro
Sent: Tuesday, May 11, 2010 9:41 PM
To: OptionClub@yahoogro
Subject: RE: [TheOptionClub.
Update 5/11/10
Well sometimes the dumb trades work out. GS eventually capitulated today, vol declined along with the move. So I’ll make an adjustment to chip away at some of the upside risk I created yesterday. Even though volatility continued to fade a bit, the risk adjustment trumps in this instance.
Adjustment
-5 140c/+9 145c $0.95 net debit
The more aggressive alternative is to add five -140/+145/+150 ladders for about 1.85 credit each. This trade, which I’ll reject, further secures the downside with all kinds of credit, leaves some upside leverage but would require a very swift rally move. There’s already a bit of gamma in the trade anyway so I’ll opt for the “safer” adjustment listed above.
Net position
-5 140c/+5 150c/+2 155c/+2 160c/+1 170c
-1 165p/-1 145p/+1 135p/+2 130p
Net overall credit is $44.67
From: OptionClub@yahoogro
Sent: Monday, May 10, 2010 10:17 PM
To: OptionClub@yahoogro
Subject: RE: [TheOptionClub.
Update 5/10/10
I guess if you left the market last weds. and took a nice long weekend you’d think you missed some pretty uneventful flat trading. It’s all about your time frame I suppose.
At any rate I can’t see anything really great to do with GS. The atm straddle has a whopping $8 or so of extrinsic value with just 4 trading days to go. Normally I’d be looking to sell that but who knows where this can go?
I’d also consider selling deltas into this rally and trying to shore up the downside so that there’d be no risk there - something like selling six 145/150 call verticals should do the trick.
Why not? I think that would make Sam happy!
Adjustment
-6 145c/+6 150c 1.95 credit each (11.70 net credit)
Net position
-9 145c/+5 150c/+2 155c/+2 160c/+1 170c
-1 165p/-1 145p/+1 135p/+2 130p
Net overall credit is $45.62
From: OptionClub@yahoogro
Sent: Friday, May 07, 2010 10:32 PM
To: OptionClub@yahoogro
Subject: RE: [TheOptionClub.
Update 5/7/10
GS stabilized (temporarily?
Adjustments
Add a call bwb +1 140/-2 145/+1 155 for 0.32 net credit
Sell the 145/140 put spread for 2.10 credit
The idea here is simply to kind of hover the trade around the 145 strike with what will look like mostly a butterfly with a bit of far otm gamma all in preparation of expiration week.
Net position:
-3 145c/-1 150c/+2 155c/+2 160c/+1 170c
-1 165p/-1 145p/+1 135p/+2 130p
Net overall credit is $33.92
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