Sunday, August 1, 2010

Re: [ConservativeOptionStrategies] TM spread/re:why Sep option?

 

Anthony,
 
Don't get me wrong, but getting into a trade just because it is cheap is not a good reason. Calendar's are a different kind of a beast as they are non-linear.
 
You are expecting the time decay in the front month to be more than the back month. That's not going to happen until after August expiry plus there is not much room to drop without effecting the back month too. And it has a good chance to move out of the range.
 
In any case, good luck with your experimentation. Keep us updated how it turns out.
 
VK


From: Anthony Hills <brem1h@yahoo.com>
To: ConservativeOptionStrategies@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Sun, August 1, 2010 8:37:52 AM
Subject: [ConservativeOptionStrategies] TM spread/re:why Sep option?



I sold the sep 70 so that I would have very little investment (49c) in the trade. I would have preferred a fatter premium AUG sold call but TM is not a very volatile stock so it does not command much premium. I just noticed that the OCT was cheap compared to the SEP so I thought I would give it a try. A gunslinging approach rather than heavy research. I try to learn by experimentation.I would not have done it if it cost much more than the 49cents at the time. If the VIX is higher at time of expiration of the SEP 70 then the OCT could command a higher price. I am still seeing a worst case price of 55cents on yahoo finance for the trade.
________________
Anthony Hills
Hills Motors/Hills Industries
4011 Pacific Blvd
San Mateo,CA 94403.
650 573 7425
Fax 650 573 8721



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