Hi James, thanks for continuing to go over the LOW position. I had a look at the three adjustments in the word document and all of them good very good (risk graphs look very impressive). Here are some quick comments:
Adjustment 1: looks good. What I ended up doing was very similar to your adjustment no 1 (instead of 23 calls i ended up buying 22 calls though). This removed the upside risk and will benefit if LOW comes back towards the 21 strike next week.
Adjustment 2: looks very good. removes risk. keeps profit potential centered at 22 and 20 strikes.
Adjustment 3: looks the best. even better that Adj # 2. not only keeps profit potential centered at 22 and 20 strikes, but also brings in the possibility of making big profits if LOW makes a huge move (below 19 or above 23) in either direction.
The only little thing that I find against 2 and 3 is the fact that we are now pretty close to expiration and instead of adding multiple contracts to the core position, I would rather look at simplifying the whole position and closing it at some point next week.
If we had 2-3 weeks before expiration, I am reasonably convinced that Adj 2 and 3 would have been great choices as potential adjustments.
Thanks once again for your suggestions. Would be great if you can continue sharing your thoughts on potential adjustments on the blog or this forum.
Cheers Viky
Viky
I have posted some quick and dirty pnl graphs into the files section that show 3 adjustments that
- button up the risk
- leave 'free' flies
- add slingshots [ extra units at the wings ]
Ends up with Max risk $10 / Max reward $190 ...
Cheers
James
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