Saturday, January 9, 2010

[ConservativeOptionStrategies] Fw: Past and Future (Weekend Newsletter)

 

This is basically an ad,  but he is an icon from the options world and usually has  something to say.  It has an option to subscribe to the weekly for free at the top.  Note that there is usually 4-5 halfway decent good ideas presented for free -- they give you something worthwhile for your time!.  I like to read it weekly and have not subscribed

--- On Sat, 1/9/10, MarketFN.com <Members@MarketFN2.com> wrote:

From: MarketFN.com <Members@MarketFN2.com>
Subject: Past and Future (Weekend Newsletter)
To: jdhudgens2000@yahoo.com
Date: Saturday, January 9, 2010, 6:09 AM

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Past and Future
      
Past and Future -- by Bill Kraft
Copyright 2010, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
Bill Kraft
Bill Kraft
Editor
Happy New Year!
Every once in a while, I wonder who is included in the "they" of the "they say" school of reinforcing a statement. You know, "they say" the market has been due for a rectracement. Or "they say" that 2010 is going to be a good year for the market. In fact, they say the past is destined to repeat itself. That is why we may rely on certain chart formations like a head and shoulders or a double bottom to signal an entry (bearish with a head and shoulders, bullish off a double bottom). However, we need to remember that the formula is fallible. Not every double bottom is followed by a move up or every head and shoulders where the neckline is broken will be followed by a further decline.
While what they say about the past repeating itself may be true, we can never tell when the repeat may occur. That is one of the reasons I always try to approach statements about good results in the past with caution. I make that preface before I set out the results of my paid subscription services for the percentage of closed trades that were winners in 2009. It was a good year for me. In terms of percentage of winners of closed trades in 2009, the following were my results:
Trend Trader 92%
$10 Trader 80%
Option Trader 77%
The specific trades appear on the Trade Tables for each of the services. Does that mean that I will do as well in 2010? Of course not. Well, the past several years have also been pretty decent in terms of percentage of closed trades that were winners, so does that mean I'll do as well in 2010? Of course not. I could do better, or not as well. Past performance, as they say, does not guarantee future results.
What works in the markets, I am convinced, are those things I write about and speak about regularly. They are the basic foundation upon which we try to build good trading plans and good trades. Things like cutting losses, letting profits run, managing money, having an exit strategy and actually following it, etc. Most of us have heard or read about these fundamentals, but as I have seen with seminar attendees and sometimes with personal mentoring students it is a failure to understand and adhere to the basics that results in disappointing trading.
Incidentally, for those of you who may be local to the Scottsdale/Phoenix area, I will be speaking to the Scottsdale/Phoenix Trading Group on the evening of Wednesday, January 20, 2010. Please say "hi" if you're there. Also, I will do some additional private coaching again in 2010. I try to limit that to one student a month so if you ever have an interest, please let me know as early as possible.
You can comment on this article on my blog!
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
"Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!
"Smart Investors Money Machine" is Bill Kraft's most recent publication.
"Trading for Keeps: Making Money with Low Risk Option Trades" a trading DVD by Bill Kraft.
Mr. Kraft's past articles are posted on our website for your review.

9 Free Reports! Choose any 3 Click Here!


$10 TRADER -- by Bill Kraft
We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains. With that opportunity comes additional risk so we try to watch trendlines and support levels in an attempt to minimize any losses.
Chart by StockCharts.com
Please turn on your ability to receive graphics. We are providing you with a detailed chart of this stock. If you are unable to turn on graphics, please CLICK HERE.

FCH (FelCor Lodging Trust Inc.)
Company Profile
FCH has been consolidating into an ascending triangle and that pattern often precedes a further upward move. In addition, MACD has turned positive and volume has been increasing along with price. Currently, the stock is dealing with a resistance level around $3.85. FCH is a hotel/motel REIT that traded in the mid-$20 range until the economic downturn.


Try our $10 Trader Real-Time Alert Service!
Details Here.


OPTION TRADER -- by Bill Kraft
Our Option Trading Service is for conservative traders that understand leverage principles. We focus on powerful option trading strategies that place volatility and momentum in your favor. And we pride ourselves on minimizing our losses. We always know our downside potential in a trade.
Chart by StockCharts.com
Please turn on your ability to receive graphics. We are providing you with a detailed chart of this stock. If you are unable to turn on graphics, please CLICK HERE.

NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation)
Company Profile
I closed a 3 month trade using LEAPS calls on NVDA on Monday with a 23.5% gain before commissions. The stock has begun a little retracement and if the retracement falls to the $17.35 area or even the apparently stronger $16.50 area and then bounces, I will seriously consider a new entry with a LEAPS position.

Try our Option Trader Real-Time Alert Service!
Achieve returns with us like 16.48% return in 5 days!
Details Here.



TREND TRADER -- by Bill Kraft
Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.
Chart by StockCharts.com
Please turn on your ability to receive graphics. We are providing you with a detailed chart of this stock. If you are unable to turn on graphics, please CLICK HERE.

ARCC (Ares Capital Corporation)
Company Profile
This stock has been stair-stepping up and looks as though it may begin the next riser on a close above $13.55. It has been trading in a range and has current short term support around $13. ARCC was also a late December Trend Trade that captured a 4.4% gain before commission in 10 days.


Try our Trend Trader Real-Time Alert Service!
Details Here.


Trade Your Way To Wealth by Bill Kraft
Trading is a path to financial independence, personal freedom, and wealth. But the path is immensely challenging and only a few emerge victorious. Bill Kraft's book Trade Your Way to Wealth, an Amazon.com "best seller", shows you the path.


SUCCESS TRADING GROUP -- by The Success Trading Team
52 Wins in 52 Weeks
Our Success Trading service delivers quality trading ideas for the elite investor that has the financial wherewithal and market nimbleness to profit on small moves in a stock's price. Become a member and you will be provided with email and/or mobile alerts intended to provide you with the opportunity to make many, many profitable trades.
Chart by StockCharts.com
Please turn on your ability to receive graphics. We are providing you with a detailed chart of this stock. If you are unable to turn on graphics, please CLICK HERE.

PEP (Pepsico, Inc.)
Company Profile
Our Success Trading Group will be watching closely for entry points next week. We currently like Pepsico, Inc. (Ticker: PEP) at $60.45 or lower for new positions.

Our Success Trading Group has closed 52 Wins in 52 Weeks and over 370 winning trades with a 95% winning track record on our Main Trade Table.
Details Here.


DIVIDEND TRADER -- by The Dividend Trader Team
Our Dividend Trader service focuses solely on the "best of the best" dividend paying stocks. We trade these stocks for short-term gains and we will also buy these stocks for their powerful dividend producing income with a purpose to make capital gains as the stock increases in value.

With these trades we attempt to get in and get out quickly. Once we buy, we immediately set an exit point of 3% above the buy price. We have had great success in the past. In fact, we have put together a string of 61 positions in a row that have hit our 3% target subsequent to the buy alert!
While we titled this service a "trader" service, we also invest in these dividend-paying stocks from time to time for the long-term. We will buy these stocks for their powerful dividend producing income with a purpose to make capital gains as the stock increases in value.
Many of the stocks that we will be "investing" in have had a history of raising their dividends almost every year. Year after year. This can be powerful. Building up your dividend income in a tax deferred account such as an IRA can significantly boost your account over the years.
Feel free to sign-up for a free 30-day trial. During such time you can review our Trade Tables and see the type of stocks we are buying. You will also receive in real-time all the new trading and investing alerts we send during your trial period.
Details Here.



COVERED CALL SERVICE
-- by the Covered Call Research Team
Our CoveredCall service has been saving covered call writers 90% of research time and helping writers of covered calls make money since 1997. This is the site for serious covered call writers!
Chart by StockCharts.com
Please turn on your ability to receive graphics. We are providing you with a detailed chart of this stock. If you are unable to turn on graphics, please CLICK HERE or on the *Read Our Weekend Report Online* link above.

JOYG - Joy Global Inc. is currently trading at $59.76. The February $60 Calls (JQYBL) are trading at $3.20. That provides a return of about 5% if JOYG is not called away at expiration and about 6% if JOYG is above $60 on expiration Friday in February.
Company Profile

Learn more about our 8 Covered Call Tables! Updated after every close. Details Here.



Success Trading Group Trade the same stocks over and over. 370 trades with 95% winners on our Main Trade Table!
Trend Trader "The Trend Is Your Friend". Utilize trends and momentum in your stock trading!
Option Trader Use the power and leverage inherent in option trading to your advantage!
$10 Trader Focusing on stocks under $10 per share!
Dividend Trader Perfect for your IRA! Quality dividend paying stocks!
Covered Calls Conservative option writing -- Allowed in your IRA!


The foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinions of Online Investment Services, LP. or the associated editor. This information is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. Past results do not guarantee future performance. Stock investing is risky. Option trading is risky. Futures trading entails great risk where one can lose more than his account balance. We are not licensed or registered in the securities or futures industries. The information presented herein and on the related web sites is presented "as is" without warranty of any kind either express or implied. Although the information has been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolios of writers for this issue may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on the related web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors. No one associated herewith receives compensation in any manner from any of the companies that are discussed in this newsletter or on the related websites. By accepting emails, including various paid subscriptions and free email reports and newsletters, you agree to the terms of the MarketFN.com's website Disclaimer, Privacy Policy and Terms of Use provisions as such may be amended from time to time.
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