Friday, April 23, 2010

Re: [TheOptionClub.com] What would you do?

 

Murthy,

I did think what would happen if AAPL goes down. So first exit strategy was that if I lose 50% I will close my position. Ofcourse I would have to take 50% loss in that case.

My thinking was if AAPL does not reach 270 then I will collect whole premium for May call and then will sell again June 270 call to get some more premium in that way I will offset some of my option price. And I will still sell my initial 260 call when price of 260 call drops 50%. So I won't have to take whole 50% loss because I will still keep premium I collected by selling immediate month calls.

Now I am not saying I was very sure about whole strategy as I am very new to options but I am going to pay attention to time decay, volatility movement and option price movement. So potentially I can still lose some money but I want to learn few things and virtual money don't really get me into the trading gear. So I had to take some risk to learn and understand whole thing.

And you guys are great help.

Thanks,

Vimal

--- In OptionClub@yahoogroups.com, Murthy N <optionsmaya@...> wrote:
>
> Vimal,
>
> It doesn't matter when you bought/sold them. What matters is the capital you
> have at risk! If you buy stock, if it goes up you make money and if it goes
> down, you lose - simple and obvious. However, in options there are other
> ways you can get hurt, which as Chris mentioned is theta decay and as
> Michael mentioned in a separate thread, with theta comes vega (volatility
> risk).
>
> Don't get me wrong and I am happy for you - but you got lucky. Your
> statements make we a little "worried" as they are a cause for concern. You
> are only thinking about upside and not about the downside. Have you thought
> what would happen if AAPL closes at 260 or below in July? Your break-even is
> $755 and everyday your long call is losing $8 because of theta decay.
>
> The current value of your spread is $12.53 each.
>
> You didn't think AAPL would go to $270, but now that it is there, you think
> it is going to go higher ... see a trend :-).
>
> Ok - my guess about you taking an Optionetics course was wrong - so you are
> already ahead :-).
>
> Murthy
>
>
>
>
> On Fri, Apr 23, 2010 at 9:01 AM, vimalbpatel@... <
> vimalbpatel@...> wrote:
>
> > Hi Murthy,
> >
> > The reason I did not give exact price is that I did not buy and sell calls
> > as a same order.
> >
> > $260 call was bought for $1010 few days before I sold May $270 call for
> > $255.
> >
> > So If I were to close the position, I would make some money but not as much
> > as I would if AAPL closes around 270. Now as Chris said, AAPL can
> > consolidate a little and that will make 270 call go down as premium will
> > decay much faster in next few days.
> >
> > The reason I don't want to sell July 270 call is I don't have much
> > experience in options and if AAPL keeps going up, it will make me unhappy as
> > July expiration is far away.
> >
> > In case AAPL goes above 275 then I would rather roll strike up say buy July
> > $270/280 call and sell May $280/290 call to offset some price.
> >
> > What do you think about this?
> >
> > Thanks a lot for your replies. No I didn't attend optionetics seminar. They
> > are really expensive for my taste. I did read Options Course though.
> >
> > Regards,
> >
> > Vimal
> >
> > --- In OptionClub@yahoogroups.com, Murthy N <optionsmaya@> wrote:
> > >
> > > Vimal,
> > >
> > > I appreciate your explanation, however you still haven't given the prices
> > at
> > > which these options were bought/sold.
> > >
> > > The reason I was specific on the prices is I wanted to see if there was a
> > > volatility crush on your July options as the earnings came out recently
> > > (usually only the front month are most affected, but you see some
> > increase
> > > on the other months too).
> > >
> > > Are you familiar with a roll? To capture the profit, you can roll your
> > May
> > > 270 call to July 270 - thus making it a vertical. For this, I would need
> > to
> > > know how much you paid for it in the first place. This roll which
> > involves
> > > buying your May 270 back and simultaneously selling a July 270 (do it as
> > > "sell a calendar", in most brokerages) - this would fetch you about $6.77
> > > right now and locking in a profit. THIS IS JUST ONE option to consider.
> > >
> > > You will still hold July 260/270 vertical spread. Whether this makes
> > sense
> > > or not is determined by what you paid.
> > >
> > > If you don't do anything and AAPL closes above 270, then you would have
> > at
> > > least made $10 (close both sides), which may not be necessarily bad
> > thing.
> > > Your 260 call would have AT LEAST $10 of intrinsic value - it will have
> > > extrinsic value too ...
> > >
> > > Let me take a wild guess here - did you recently take an Optionetics
> > > seminar?
> > >
> > > Good luck.
> > >
> > > Murthy
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > On Fri, Apr 23, 2010 at 7:46 AM, vimalbpatel@ <
> > > vimalbpatel@> wrote:
> > >
> > > > Hi Murthy,
> > > >
> > > > My thought process was like this. AAPL was about $255 and I was bullish
> > on
> > > > it. So I wanted to buy July $260 call and keep it until 30 days to
> > > > expiration. I wanted to sell it if my loss is 50% before that date.
> > > >
> > > > Now $270 was far away and thought I can sell May call to collect some
> > > > premium. That was going to offset my option price by about 25% and was
> > > > hoping it would expire wortless or premium will decay in last 30 days.
> > > >
> > > > Now AAPL has moved a lot in last two days. Yesterday about $7 and today
> > 4+.
> > > > I really don't want assignment on this one so I thought I would ask you
> > > > guys.
> > > >
> > > > I am up good amount on my 260 call so one option is to colse the
> > position
> > > > with profit. Which is never a bad thing.
> > > >
> > > > Second option is to close out this position and roll the spread to 270
> > July
> > > > vs 280 May. Which will still give me profit.
> > > >
> > > > So being in the condition I am in, what you guys will do. As I don't
> > have
> > > > much experience, I would like to see how you guys would adjust this
> > > > position.
> > > >
> > > > Thanks a lot,
> > > >
> > > > Regards, Vimal
> > > >
> > > > --- In OptionClub@yahoogroups.com, Murthy N <optionsmaya@> wrote:
> > > > >
> > > > > Vimal,
> > > > >
> > > > > When or more importantly for what price did you buy this (diagonal
> > > > > calendar)?
> > > > >
> > > > > What was your thought process in doing this trade BEFORE you put your
> > > > hard
> > > > > earned money into it.
> > > > >
> > > > > There is no risk of assignment - too much time value on the 270 calls
> > and
> > > > > there are no dividends for AAPL.
> > > > >
> > > > > Murthy
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > > On Fri, Apr 23, 2010 at 6:17 AM, vimalbpatel@ <
> > > > > vimalbpatel@> wrote:
> > > > >
> > > > > > Hey guys,
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Very new to options so here is the problem.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > I bought AAPL July $260 call couple of weeks ago and sold $270 May
> > > > against
> > > > > > it. Now price is approaching $270.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > What would you do right now as AAPL is $269 premarket right now.
> > Would
> > > > you
> > > > > > wait two more weeks before you buy back or roll over strike? Or you
> > > > would
> > > > > > buy back right now?
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Did you get assigned three+ weeks before expiration? Because
> > eventhough
> > > > > > price is at strike, option is still made of extrinsic value and has
> > yet
> > > > to
> > > > > > get any intrinsic value.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Thanks in advance,
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Vimal
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > > ------------------------------------
> > > > > >
> > > > > > The goal of TheOptionClub is to provide a forum for members to work
> > > > > > together for the purpose of furthering our individual understanding
> > > > option
> > > > > > trading. All messages and postings, and any materials circulated
> > are
> > > > > > provided for discussion and educational purposes only. No
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> > > > > > contained in any materials from TheOptionClub should be considered
> > a
> > > > > > recommendation to buy or sell a security or to provide investment,
> > > > legal or
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> > > > It is
> > > > > > understood that the participants in TheOptionClub have varying
> > > > backgrounds
> > > > > > and degrees of experience in option trading, and that regardless of
> > > > > > experience each member is considered a student. As such, any
> > > > information
> > > > > > distributed through TheOptionClub should be considered with a
> > critical
> > > > mind
> > > > > > and not relied upon as an authoritative source.
> > > > > >
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> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > ------------------------------------
> > > >
> > > > The goal of TheOptionClub is to provide a forum for members to work
> > > > together for the purpose of furthering our individual understanding
> > option
> > > > trading. All messages and postings, and any materials circulated are
> > > > provided for discussion and educational purposes only. No statement
> > > > contained in any materials from TheOptionClub should be considered a
> > > > recommendation to buy or sell a security or to provide investment,
> > legal or
> > > > tax advice. All investors are encouraged to consult a qualified
> > > > professional before trading in any security. Stock and option trading
> > > > involves risk and is not suitable for most people. There is no
> > guarantee
> > > > that any information provided is accurate and, may in fact, be wrong.
> > It is
> > > > understood that the participants in TheOptionClub have varying
> > backgrounds
> > > > and degrees of experience in option trading, and that regardless of
> > > > experience each member is considered a student. As such, any
> > information
> > > > distributed through TheOptionClub should be considered with a critical
> > mind
> > > > and not relied upon as an authoritative source.
> > > >
> > > > To unsubscribe from TheOptionClub, send an email to:
> > > > OptionClub-unsubscribe@! Groups Links
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> > ------------------------------------
> >
> > The goal of TheOptionClub is to provide a forum for members to work
> > together for the purpose of furthering our individual understanding option
> > trading. All messages and postings, and any materials circulated are
> > provided for discussion and educational purposes only. No statement
> > contained in any materials from TheOptionClub should be considered a
> > recommendation to buy or sell a security or to provide investment, legal or
> > tax advice. All investors are encouraged to consult a qualified
> > professional before trading in any security. Stock and option trading
> > involves risk and is not suitable for most people. There is no guarantee
> > that any information provided is accurate and, may in fact, be wrong. It is
> > understood that the participants in TheOptionClub have varying backgrounds
> > and degrees of experience in option trading, and that regardless of
> > experience each member is considered a student. As such, any information
> > distributed through TheOptionClub should be considered with a critical mind
> > and not relied upon as an authoritative source.
> >
> > To unsubscribe from TheOptionClub, send an email to:
> > OptionClub-unsubscribe@...! Groups Links
> >
> >
> >
> >
>

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Recent Activity:
The goal of TheOptionClub is to provide a forum for members to work together for the purpose of furthering our individual understanding option trading.  All messages and postings, and any materials circulated are provided for discussion and educational purposes only.  No statement contained in any materials from TheOptionClub should be considered a recommendation to buy or sell a security or to provide investment, legal or tax advice.  All investors are encouraged to consult a qualified professional before trading in any security.  Stock and option trading involves risk and is not suitable for most people.  There is no guarantee that any information provided is accurate and, may in fact, be wrong.  It is understood that the participants in TheOptionClub have varying backgrounds and degrees of experience in option trading, and that regardless of experience each member is considered a student.  As such, any information distributed through TheOptionClub should be considered with a critical mind and not relied upon as an authoritative source.

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