Friday, March 26, 2010

Re: [TheOptionClub.com] Re: Best Adjustment Method [1 Attachment]

 
[Attachment(s) from Ricky Jimenez included below]

On Fri, 26 Mar 2010 18:45:49 -0500, "mcatolico"
<mcatolico@mindspring.com> wrote:

>MC - no way would the adjustment be a large debit. it's basically an iron
>butterfly (credit spread) plus a couple otm long calls (minor debit) that
>may or may net into a total debit depending on the obvious factors. As far
>as what the position looks like it's clear that at 190 you have a winner
>(not a loser)

You are right, Michael, that 190 was the best outcome but I wouldn't
call it a winner. To settle the argument (without pistols, boxing
gloves, etc.) as to whether this adjustment is possible, I went to the
OCC Options Calculator and put in the numbers you gave. Volatility
35%, 28 days until expiration, underlying at 185 and got for the
initial position, the prices:
175c 13.09,
180c 9.86,
190c 5.03,
195c 3.41.

Then I changed the underlying to be at 191 with 26 days until
expiration:
185p 4.40
190p 6.60
190c 7.625
195c 5.38 (not so cheap after all). Attached is the expiration graph
with the original condor in blue and the adjusted position in black.

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Attachment(s) from Ricky Jimenez

1 of 1 Photo(s)

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